Model probability
27.3%
Fair odds
27/10
Model edge
—
Raw score
69.4
Official rating
60
Weight
133lb
Draw
10
Days since last run
30
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Charbonnel et Walker EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)
Conditions
Class 3 · 7f · Good · Turf
Field
11 runners · Non-handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
2
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: MediumModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 2 over the last 1 start(s); 30 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 89 | 51.6 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 60 against a class 3 contest | 12% | 23 | 2.8 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 60 against a field average of 60 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Ascot not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form Roger Varian — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 10 of 11 | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Ray Dawson — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 133 lb (level weights) | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |