Model probability
4.7%
Fair odds
101/5
Model edge
—
Raw score
37.3
Official rating
80
Weight
128lb
Draw
3
Days since last run
86
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Ascot Events EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)
Conditions
Class 2 · 1m · Good · Turf
Field
11 runners · Non-handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
6
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: MediumModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 6 over the last 1 start(s); 86 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 25 | 14.5 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 80 against a class 2 contest | 12% | 54 | 6.5 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 3 of 11 | 3% | 93 | 2.8 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 80 against a field average of 80 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Ascot not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form Tom Ward — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Saffie Osborne — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 128 lb (level weights) | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |