Model probability
5.1%
Fair odds
37/2
Model edge
—
Raw score
49.7
Official rating
86
Weight
128lb
Draw
1
Days since last run
30
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Juddmonte Ebf Restricted Novice Stakes (for Horses In Bands A, B, C And D) (Ebf Restricted Race Qual) (GBB Race)
Conditions
Class 2 · 6f · Good · Turf
Field
7 runners · Non-handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
No form figures are published for this horse — it may be unraced or returning from a long absence.
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: MediumModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality No recorded form figures for this horse | 58% | 45 | 26.1 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 86 against a class 2 contest | 12% | 63 | 7.6 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 1 of 7 | 3% | 81 | 2.4 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 86 against a field average of 86 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Ascot not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form Eve Johnson Houghton — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 128 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 54 | 1.1 |
| Jockey recent form Rhys Clutterbuck — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |