Model probability
7.6%
Fair odds
121/10
Model edge
—
Raw score
56.9
Official rating
86
Weight
130lb
Draw
2
Days since last run
18
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Juddmonte Ebf Restricted Novice Stakes (for Horses In Bands A, B, C And D) (Ebf Restricted Race Qual) (GBB Race)
Conditions
Class 2 · 6f · Good · Turf
Field
7 runners · Non-handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
4
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: MediumModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 4 over the last 1 start(s); 18 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 57 | 33.1 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 86 against a class 2 contest | 12% | 63 | 7.6 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 2 of 7 | 3% | 94 | 2.8 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 86 against a field average of 86 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Ascot not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form Charles Hills — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Rob Hornby — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 130 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 46 | 0.9 |