Model probability
5.3%
Fair odds
89/5
Model edge
—
Raw score
47.0
Official rating
78
Weight
121lb
Draw
13
Days since last run
21
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Ascot Hospitality Handicap Stakes
Conditions
Class 2 · 1m · Good · Turf
Field
13 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
099343
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 099343 over the last 6 start(s); 21 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 47 | 27.1 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 78 against a class 2 contest | 12% | 51 | 6.1 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Ascot not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 121 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 80 | 1.6 |
| Trainer recent form George Margarson — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 13 of 13 | 3% | 42 | 1.2 |
| Jockey recent form Kieran O'Neill — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 78 against a field average of 95 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 12 | 0.5 |