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Arctic Thunder

5yo · Ed Walker · Ashley Lewis(3) · Fri, 4 Sept 2026

Model probability
9.8%
Fair odds
46/5
Model edge
Raw score
58.1
Official rating
96
Weight
132lb
Draw
2
Days since last run
27

Today's race

The conditions this rating was produced for.

Race
Ascot Hospitality Handicap Stakes
Conditions
Class 2 · 1m · Good · Turf
Field
13 runners · Handicap

Recent form

Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.

076811

Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.

Why this rating?

Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.

Data quality: HighModel v1.4
Recent form & race quality
Form line 076811 over the last 6 start(s); 27 day(s) since the last run
58%5632.7
Official rating & class suitability
Official rating 96 against a class 2 contest
12%789.4
Distance suitability
Past-distance record not available on the current data feed
6%503.0
Going suitability
Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good)
6%503.0
Draw / course-position advantage
Stall 2 of 13
3%822.5
Speed / performance ratings
Official rating 96 against a field average of 95 (speed figures not in the current feed)
4%522.1
Course performance
Course record at Ascot not available on the current data feed
4%502.0
Trainer recent form
Ed Walker — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed
3%501.5
Jockey recent form
Ashley Lewis(3) — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed
2%501.0
Weight / handicap position
Carrying 132 lb (below top weight)
2%450.9