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Jolly Jack Tar

5yo · John & Thady Gosden · William Buick · Fri, 4 Sept 2026

Model probability
11.0%
Fair odds
81/10
Model edge
Raw score
60.1
Official rating
92
Weight
128lb
Draw
7
Days since last run
402

Today's race

The conditions this rating was produced for.

Race
Ascot Hospitality Handicap Stakes
Conditions
Class 2 · 1m · Good · Turf
Field
13 runners · Handicap

Recent form

Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.

13/10-

Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.

Why this rating?

Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.

Data quality: MediumModel v1.4
Recent form & race quality
Form line 13/10- over the last 4 start(s); 402 day(s) since the last run
58%6135.6
Official rating & class suitability
Official rating 92 against a class 2 contest
12%728.7
Distance suitability
Past-distance record not available on the current data feed
6%503.0
Going suitability
Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good)
6%503.0
Draw / course-position advantage
Stall 7 of 13
3%832.5
Course performance
Course record at Ascot not available on the current data feed
4%502.0
Speed / performance ratings
Official rating 92 against a field average of 95 (speed figures not in the current feed)
4%431.7
Trainer recent form
John & Thady Gosden — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed
3%501.5
Weight / handicap position
Carrying 128 lb (below top weight)
2%581.2
Jockey recent form
William Buick — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed
2%501.0