Live British & Irish racecards — probabilities are estimates, not tips
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Blue Rc

4yo · James Tate · Rob Hornby · Fri, 4 Sept 2026

Model probability
9.2%
Fair odds
99/10
Model edge
Raw score
56.9
Official rating
104
Weight
140lb
Draw
10
Days since last run
41

Today's race

The conditions this rating was produced for.

Race
Ascot Hospitality Handicap Stakes
Conditions
Class 2 · 1m · Good · Turf
Field
13 runners · Handicap

Recent form

Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.

122920

Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.

Why this rating?

Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.

Data quality: HighModel v1.4
Recent form & race quality
Form line 122920 over the last 6 start(s); 41 day(s) since the last run
58%5330.5
Official rating & class suitability
Official rating 104 against a class 2 contest
12%9110.9
Distance suitability
Past-distance record not available on the current data feed
6%503.0
Going suitability
Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good)
6%503.0
Speed / performance ratings
Official rating 104 against a field average of 95 (speed figures not in the current feed)
4%692.8
Course performance
Course record at Ascot not available on the current data feed
4%502.0
Draw / course-position advantage
Stall 10 of 13
3%621.9
Trainer recent form
James Tate — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed
3%501.5
Jockey recent form
Rob Hornby — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed
2%501.0
Weight / handicap position
Carrying 140 lb (top weight)
2%200.4