Model probability
11.6%
Fair odds
38/5
Model edge
—
Raw score
61.1
Official rating
97
Weight
128lb
Draw
12
Days since last run
55
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Ascot Hospitality Handicap Stakes
Conditions
Class 2 · 1m · Good · Turf
Field
13 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
17-514
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 17-514 over the last 5 start(s); 55 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 62 | 36.2 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 97 against a class 2 contest | 12% | 80 | 9.6 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 97 against a field average of 95 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 54 | 2.2 |
| Course performance Course record at Ascot not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form George Boughey — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 12 of 13 | 3% | 48 | 1.5 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 128 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 58 | 1.2 |
| Jockey recent form Jack Callan — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |