Model probability
6.6%
Fair odds
71/5
Model edge
—
Raw score
47.3
Official rating
78
Weight
128lb
Draw
5
Days since last run
120
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Sodexo Live! Handicap Stakes
Conditions
Class 4 · 7f · Good · Turf
Field
9 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
4601-6
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 4601-6 over the last 5 start(s); 120 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 44 | 25.4 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 78 against a class 4 contest | 12% | 51 | 6.1 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 5 of 9 | 3% | 82 | 2.4 |
| Course performance Course record at Ascot not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 78 against a field average of 81 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 44 | 1.7 |
| Trainer recent form Hugo Palmer — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 128 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 59 | 1.2 |
| Jockey recent form James Doyle — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |