Model probability
18.2%
Fair odds
9/2
Model edge
—
Raw score
54.7
Official rating
71
Weight
139lb
Draw
1
Days since last run
17
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Thomas Armstrong Group Haydock Park Training Series Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Apprentice Training Race - Part Of The Racing Excellence Series)
Conditions
Class 5 · 1m 6f · Heavy · Turf
Field
8 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
973V23
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 973V23 over the last 5 start(s); 17 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 59 | 34.2 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 71 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 40 | 4.8 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: heavy) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 1 of 8 | 3% | 80 | 2.4 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 71 against a field average of 69 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 56 | 2.2 |
| Course performance Course record at Haydock not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form David Loughnane — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Conor Whiteley — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 139 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 33 | 0.7 |