Model probability
21.3%
Fair odds
37/10
Model edge
—
Raw score
45.4
Official rating
60
Weight
128lb
Draw
4
Days since last run
15
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Lee Thomas Christy Memorial Ebf Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb Race)
Conditions
Class 3 · 1m · Heavy · Turf
Field
4 runners · Non-handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
03
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: MediumModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 03 over the last 2 start(s); 15 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 48 | 27.9 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: heavy) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 60 against a class 3 contest | 12% | 23 | 2.8 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 60 against a field average of 60 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Haydock not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form Charlie Johnston — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 4 of 4 | 3% | 42 | 1.2 |
| Jockey recent form Hector Crouch — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 128 lb (level weights) | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |