Model probability
8.8%
Fair odds
103/10
Model edge
—
Raw score
25.5
Official rating
92
Weight
128lb
Draw
1
Days since last run
21
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Tattersalls £40,000 Ebf Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb Race)
Conditions
Class 2 · 6f · Heavy · Turf
Field
4 runners · Non-handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
8
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: MediumModel v1.4
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 92 against a class 2 contest | 12% | 72 | 8.7 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: heavy) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 1 of 4 | 3% | 91 | 2.7 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 92 against a field average of 92 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Haydock not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 128 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 80 | 1.6 |
| Trainer recent form Nigel Tinkler — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Faye McManoman — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Recent form & race quality Form line 8 over the last 1 start(s); 21 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 0 | 0.0 |