Model probability
2.5%
Fair odds
79/2
Model edge
—
Raw score
31.8
Official rating
80
Weight
133lb
Draw
12
Days since last run
13
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Oakmere Homes Handicap Stakes
Conditions
Class 4 · 6f · Heavy · Turf
Field
14 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
-55608
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line -55608 over the last 5 start(s); 13 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 18 | 10.4 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 80 against a class 4 contest | 12% | 54 | 6.5 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: heavy) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Haydock not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 80 against a field average of 80 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 12 of 14 | 3% | 54 | 1.6 |
| Trainer recent form Mark Loughnane — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Jack Mitchell — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 133 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 41 | 0.8 |