Model probability
1.9%
Fair odds
258/5
Model edge
—
Raw score
27.0
Official rating
84
Weight
137lb
Draw
14
Days since last run
27
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Oakmere Homes Handicap Stakes
Conditions
Class 4 · 6f · Heavy · Turf
Field
14 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
905-99
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 84 against a class 4 contest | 12% | 60 | 7.2 |
| Recent form & race quality Form line 905-99 over the last 5 start(s); 27 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 9 | 5.2 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: heavy) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 84 against a field average of 80 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 58 | 2.3 |
| Course performance Course record at Haydock not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form Michael Appleby — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 14 of 14 | 3% | 41 | 1.2 |
| Jockey recent form Cieren Fallon — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 137 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 29 | 0.6 |