Model probability
3.4%
Fair odds
281/10
Model edge
—
Raw score
37.7
Official rating
84
Weight
135lb
Draw
5
Days since last run
13
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Oakmere Homes Handicap Stakes
Conditions
Class 4 · 6f · Heavy · Turf
Field
14 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
5-3000
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 5-3000 over the last 5 start(s); 13 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 24 | 14.0 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 84 against a class 4 contest | 12% | 60 | 7.2 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: heavy) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 5 of 14 | 3% | 99 | 3.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 84 against a field average of 80 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 58 | 2.3 |
| Course performance Course record at Haydock not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form David Loughnane — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Laura Pearson — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 135 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 35 | 0.7 |