Model probability
2.6%
Fair odds
187/5
Model edge
—
Raw score
32.7
Official rating
69
Weight
120lb
Draw
7
Days since last run
49
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Oakmere Homes Handicap Stakes
Conditions
Class 4 · 6f · Heavy · Turf
Field
14 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
5-8839
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 5-8839 over the last 5 start(s); 49 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 22 | 12.6 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 69 against a class 4 contest | 12% | 37 | 4.4 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: heavy) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 7 of 14 | 3% | 87 | 2.6 |
| Course performance Course record at Haydock not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 120 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 80 | 1.6 |
| Trainer recent form Gary Hanmer — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 69 against a field average of 80 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 25 | 1.0 |
| Jockey recent form Gina Mangan — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |