Model probability
11.1%
Fair odds
8/1
Model edge
—
Raw score
57.4
Official rating
58
Weight
133lb
Draw
2
Days since last run
7
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Arete Foundation Fillies' Handicap Stakes
Conditions
Class 5 · 7f · Heavy · Turf
Field
12 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
863241
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 863241 over the last 6 start(s); 7 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 68 | 39.7 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: heavy) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 2 of 12 | 3% | 84 | 2.5 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 58 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 20 | 2.4 |
| Course performance Course record at Haydock not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form Rod Millman — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 58 against a field average of 66 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 33 | 1.3 |
| Jockey recent form Callum Rodriguez — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 133 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |