Live British & Irish racecards — probabilities are estimates, not tips
← Back to the 16:20 Haydock

Only Dream Big

3yo · Tim Easterby · David Allan · Fri, 4 Sept 2026

Model probability
6.5%
Fair odds
72/5
Model edge
Raw score
47.6
Official rating
62
Weight
128lb
Draw
11
Days since last run
10

Today's race

The conditions this rating was produced for.

Race
Arete Foundation Fillies' Handicap Stakes
Conditions
Class 5 · 7f · Heavy · Turf
Field
12 runners · Handicap

Recent form

Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.

155635

Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.

Why this rating?

Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.

Data quality: HighModel v1.4
Recent form & race quality
Form line 155635 over the last 6 start(s); 10 day(s) since the last run
58%5129.4
Official rating & class suitability
Official rating 62 against a class 5 contest
12%263.1
Distance suitability
Past-distance record not available on the current data feed
6%503.0
Going suitability
Going record not available on the current data feed (today: heavy)
6%503.0
Course performance
Course record at Haydock not available on the current data feed
4%502.0
Speed / performance ratings
Official rating 62 against a field average of 66 (speed figures not in the current feed)
4%421.7
Trainer recent form
Tim Easterby — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed
3%501.5
Weight / handicap position
Carrying 128 lb (below top weight)
2%751.5
Draw / course-position advantage
Stall 11 of 12
3%491.5
Jockey recent form
David Allan — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed
2%501.0