Model probability
4.5%
Fair odds
106/5
Model edge
—
Raw score
41.1
Official rating
69
Weight
139lb
Draw
7
Days since last run
18
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Arete Foundation Fillies' Handicap Stakes
Conditions
Class 5 · 7f · Heavy · Turf
Field
12 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
7-6404
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 7-6404 over the last 5 start(s); 18 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 36 | 21.1 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 69 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 37 | 4.4 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: heavy) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 7 of 12 | 3% | 79 | 2.4 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 69 against a field average of 66 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 57 | 2.3 |
| Course performance Course record at Haydock not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form Roger Fell — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Joanna Mason — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 139 lb (top weight) | 2% | 20 | 0.4 |