Model probability
5.2%
Fair odds
18/1
Model edge
—
Raw score
43.9
Official rating
66
Weight
132lb
Draw
9
Days since last run
31
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Arete Foundation Fillies' Handicap Stakes
Conditions
Class 5 · 7f · Heavy · Turf
Field
12 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
79-615
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 79-615 over the last 5 start(s); 31 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 42 | 24.4 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 66 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 32 | 3.9 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: heavy) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 66 against a field average of 66 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 51 | 2.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Haydock not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 9 of 12 | 3% | 64 | 1.9 |
| Trainer recent form Adrian Wintle — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 132 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 55 | 1.1 |
| Jockey recent form Gina Mangan — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |