Model probability
20.1%
Fair odds
4/1
Model edge
—
Raw score
66.6
Official rating
65
Weight
132lb
Draw
4
Days since last run
25
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Betfair Supports Racing Welfare Handicap Stakes
Conditions
Class 5 · 1m 3.5f · Heavy · Turf
Field
13 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
222441
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 222441 over the last 6 start(s); 25 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 81 | 46.7 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 65 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 31 | 3.7 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: heavy) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 4 of 13 | 3% | 96 | 2.9 |
| Course performance Course record at Haydock not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 65 against a field average of 70 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 38 | 1.5 |
| Trainer recent form Donald Whillans — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 132 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 63 | 1.3 |
| Jockey recent form Shay Farmer(5) — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |