← Back to the 16:53 Haydock
Lightning Tiger
4yo · Charlie Fellowes · Callum Rodriguez · Fri, 4 Sept 2026
Model probability
5.1%
Fair odds
93/5
Model edge
—
Raw score
42.0
Official rating
73
Weight
140lb
Draw
12
Days since last run
41
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Betfair Supports Racing Welfare Handicap Stakes
Conditions
Class 5 · 1m 3.5f · Heavy · Turf
Field
13 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
4-4448
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 4-4448 over the last 5 start(s); 41 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 38 | 22.0 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 73 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 43 | 5.2 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: heavy) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 73 against a field average of 70 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 56 | 2.2 |
| Course performance Course record at Haydock not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form Charlie Fellowes — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 12 of 13 | 3% | 48 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Callum Rodriguez — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 140 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 29 | 0.6 |