Live British & Irish racecards — probabilities are estimates, not tips
← Back to the 18:24 Kempton (AW)

Gilding The Lily

3yo · John & Thady Gosden · Robert Havlin · Fri, 4 Sept 2026

Model probability
54.7%
Fair odds
4/5
Model edge
Raw score
75.8
Official rating
79
Weight
135lb
Draw
4
Days since last run
21

Today's race

The conditions this rating was produced for.

Race
Irish Ebf Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb Race)
Conditions
Class 3 · 1m · Standard · All-Weather
Field
4 runners · Non-handicap

Recent form

Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.

21

Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.

Why this rating?

Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.

Data quality: MediumModel v1.4
Recent form & race quality
Form line 21 over the last 2 start(s); 21 day(s) since the last run
58%9655.4
Official rating & class suitability
Official rating 79 against a class 3 contest
12%526.3
Distance suitability
Past-distance record not available on the current data feed
6%503.0
Going suitability
Going record not available on the current data feed (today: standard)
6%503.0
Speed / performance ratings
Official rating 79 against a field average of 79 (speed figures not in the current feed)
4%502.0
Course performance
Course record at Kempton (AW) not available on the current data feed
4%502.0
Trainer recent form
John & Thady Gosden — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed
3%501.5
Draw / course-position advantage
Stall 4 of 4
3%421.2
Jockey recent form
Robert Havlin — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed
2%501.0
Weight / handicap position
Carrying 135 lb (top weight)
2%200.4