← Back to the 18:24 Kempton (AW)
River Nile
3yo · Andrew Balding · Callum Hutchinson · Fri, 4 Sept 2026
Model probability
15.6%
Fair odds
27/5
Model edge
—
Raw score
53.3
Official rating
79
Weight
128lb
Draw
3
Days since last run
16
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Irish Ebf Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb Race)
Conditions
Class 3 · 1m · Standard · All-Weather
Field
4 runners · Non-handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
6-3
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: MediumModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 6-3 over the last 2 start(s); 16 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 53 | 31.0 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 79 against a class 3 contest | 12% | 52 | 6.3 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: standard) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 79 against a field average of 79 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Kempton (AW) not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 3 of 4 | 3% | 64 | 1.9 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 128 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 80 | 1.6 |
| Trainer recent form Andrew Balding — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Callum Hutchinson — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |