Model probability
27.7%
Fair odds
13/5
Model edge
—
Raw score
77.1
Official rating
77
Weight
127lb
Draw
3
Days since last run
20
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap Stakes
Conditions
Class 4 · 1m · Standard · All-Weather
Field
7 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
231211
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 231211 over the last 6 start(s); 20 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 94 | 54.7 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 77 against a class 4 contest | 12% | 49 | 5.9 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: standard) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 3 of 7 | 3% | 93 | 2.8 |
| Course performance Course record at Kempton (AW) not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 77 against a field average of 81 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 40 | 1.6 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 127 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 80 | 1.6 |
| Trainer recent form John Butler — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form David Egan — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |