Live British & Irish racecards — probabilities are estimates, not tips
← Back to the 19:24 Kempton (AW)

Flag Of St George

5yo · Jane Chapple-Hyam · Marco Ghiani · Fri, 4 Sept 2026

Model probability
3.9%
Fair odds
122/5
Model edge
Raw score
37.4
Official rating
78
Weight
128lb
Draw
9
Days since last run
23

Today's race

The conditions this rating was produced for.

Race
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Conditions
Class 4 · 7f · Standard · All-Weather
Field
14 runners · Handicap

Recent form

Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.

25-876

Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.

Why this rating?

Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.

Data quality: HighModel v1.4
Recent form & race quality
Form line 25-876 over the last 5 start(s); 23 day(s) since the last run
58%2715.6
Official rating & class suitability
Official rating 78 against a class 4 contest
12%516.1
Distance suitability
Past-distance record not available on the current data feed
6%503.0
Going suitability
Going record not available on the current data feed (today: standard)
6%503.0
Draw / course-position advantage
Stall 9 of 14
3%742.2
Course performance
Course record at Kempton (AW) not available on the current data feed
4%502.0
Speed / performance ratings
Official rating 78 against a field average of 82 (speed figures not in the current feed)
4%421.7
Trainer recent form
Jane Chapple-Hyam — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed
3%501.5
Weight / handicap position
Carrying 128 lb (below top weight)
2%691.4
Jockey recent form
Marco Ghiani — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed
2%501.0