← Back to the 19:54 Kempton (AW)
Irish Nectar
5yo · Michael Herrington · Dylan Hogan · Fri, 4 Sept 2026
Model probability
9.9%
Fair odds
91/10
Model edge
—
Raw score
39.7
Official rating
68
Weight
128lb
Draw
7
Days since last run
13
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Unibet 40,000+ Live Streamed Events Handicap Stakes
Conditions
Class 5 · 6f · Standard · All-Weather
Field
7 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
040494
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 040494 over the last 6 start(s); 13 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 35 | 20.4 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 68 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 35 | 4.2 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: standard) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Kempton (AW) not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 68 against a field average of 72 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 42 | 1.7 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 128 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 80 | 1.6 |
| Trainer recent form Michael Herrington — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Stall 7 of 7 | 3% | 41 | 1.2 |
| Jockey recent form Dylan Hogan — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |