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← Back to the 19:54 Kempton (AW)

Early Release

4yo · David Evans · Pat Cosgrave · Fri, 4 Sept 2026

Model probability
16.5%
Fair odds
51/10
Model edge
Raw score
48.9
Official rating
70
Weight
130lb
Draw
4
Days since last run
51

Today's race

The conditions this rating was produced for.

Race
Unibet 40,000+ Live Streamed Events Handicap Stakes
Conditions
Class 5 · 6f · Standard · All-Weather
Field
7 runners · Handicap

Recent form

Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.

816715

Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.

Why this rating?

Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.

Data quality: HighModel v1.4
Recent form & race quality
Form line 816715 over the last 6 start(s); 51 day(s) since the last run
58%4928.3
Official rating & class suitability
Official rating 70 against a class 5 contest
12%384.6
Distance suitability
Past-distance record not available on the current data feed
6%503.0
Going suitability
Going record not available on the current data feed (today: standard)
6%503.0
Draw / course-position advantage
Stall 4 of 7
3%802.4
Course performance
Course record at Kempton (AW) not available on the current data feed
4%502.0
Speed / performance ratings
Official rating 70 against a field average of 72 (speed figures not in the current feed)
4%471.9
Trainer recent form
David Evans — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed
3%501.5
Weight / handicap position
Carrying 130 lb (below top weight)
2%631.3
Jockey recent form
Pat Cosgrave — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed
2%501.0