Model probability
12.1%
Fair odds
73/10
Model edge
—
Raw score
60.0
Official rating
111
Weight
165lb
Draw
4
Days since last run
84
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Copybet Overnight Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Steeple Chase (ARC Summer Chase Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)
Conditions
Class 4 · 2m 7f · Good · Turf
Field
6 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
007-12
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 007-12 over the last 5 start(s); 84 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 57 | 33.3 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 111 against a class 4 contest | 12% | 100 | 12.0 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 111 against a field average of 110 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 52 | 2.1 |
| Course performance Course record at Worcester not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form Mickey Bowen — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Draw not a material factor over jumps | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Sean Bowen — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 165 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 33 | 0.7 |