Model probability
20.4%
Fair odds
39/10
Model edge
—
Raw score
56.1
Official rating
85
Weight
153lb
Draw
4
Days since last run
40
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Kevin 'nasty' Turner Memorial Handicap Steeple Chase (ARC Summer Chase Series Qualifier)
Conditions
Class 5 · 2m 0.5f · Good · Turf
Field
6 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
43-724
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 43-724 over the last 5 start(s); 40 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 58 | 33.8 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 85 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 62 | 7.4 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Worcester not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 85 against a field average of 87 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 46 | 1.8 |
| Trainer recent form D J Jeffreys — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Draw not a material factor over jumps | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 153 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 55 | 1.1 |
| Jockey recent form Kielan Woods — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |