Model probability
9.2%
Fair odds
49/5
Model edge
—
Raw score
41.8
Official rating
100
Weight
168lb
Draw
1
Days since last run
20
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Kevin 'nasty' Turner Memorial Handicap Steeple Chase (ARC Summer Chase Series Qualifier)
Conditions
Class 5 · 2m 0.5f · Good · Turf
Field
6 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
-16577
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line -16577 over the last 5 start(s); 20 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 28 | 16.1 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 100 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 85 | 10.2 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 100 against a field average of 87 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 79 | 3.1 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Worcester not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form Dan Skelton — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Draw not a material factor over jumps | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Harry Atkins(5) — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 168 lb (top weight) | 2% | 20 | 0.4 |