Live British & Irish racecards — probabilities are estimates, not tips
← Back to the 17:36 Worcester

Dark Tide Rising

4yo · Tom George · Kielan Woods · Fri, 4 Sept 2026

Model probability
6.8%
Fair odds
137/10
Model edge
Raw score
44.5
Official rating
60
Weight
154lb
Draw
4
Days since last run
20

Today's race

The conditions this rating was produced for.

Race
Copybet For Premier League Profit Boosts Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)
Conditions
Class 5 · 2m · Good · Turf
Field
10 runners · Non-handicap

Recent form

Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.

PF-43

Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.

Why this rating?

Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.

Data quality: HighModel v1.4
Recent form & race quality
Form line PF-43 over the last 4 start(s); 20 day(s) since the last run
58%4425.7
Distance suitability
Past-distance record not available on the current data feed
6%503.0
Going suitability
Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good)
6%503.0
Draw / course-position advantage
Stall 4 of 10
3%962.9
Official rating & class suitability
Official rating 60 against a class 5 contest
12%232.8
Speed / performance ratings
Official rating 60 against a field average of 60 (speed figures not in the current feed)
4%502.0
Course performance
Course record at Worcester not available on the current data feed
4%502.0
Trainer recent form
Tom George — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed
3%501.5
Jockey recent form
Kielan Woods — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed
2%501.0
Weight / handicap position
Carrying 154 lb (below top weight)
2%330.7