Model probability
1.5%
Fair odds
319/5
Model edge
—
Raw score
24.6
Official rating
94
Weight
158lb
Draw
11
Days since last run
42
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
John Burke Mares' Maiden Hurdle Race (ARC Summer Novices' Brush Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)
Conditions
Class 4 · 2m · Good · Turf
Field
12 runners · Non-handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
9-9
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: MediumModel v1.4
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 94 against a class 4 contest | 12% | 75 | 9.0 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Worcester not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 94 against a field average of 94 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 158 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 80 | 1.6 |
| Trainer recent form David Dennis — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Draw not a material factor over jumps | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Charlie Todd — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Recent form & race quality Form line 9-9 over the last 2 start(s); 42 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 0 | 0.0 |