Model probability
11.6%
Fair odds
38/5
Model edge
—
Raw score
56.3
Official rating
105
Weight
163lb
Draw
4
Days since last run
103
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Step Into Luxury With Purple Granite Handicap Hurdle Race
Conditions
Class 4 · 2m · Good · Turf
Field
6 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
F136/4
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line F136/4 over the last 5 start(s); 103 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 52 | 30.4 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 105 against a class 4 contest | 12% | 92 | 11.1 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 105 against a field average of 104 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 51 | 2.1 |
| Course performance Course record at Worcester not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form Fergal O'Brien — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Draw not a material factor over jumps | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Tom Broughton(3) — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 163 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 41 | 0.8 |