← Back to the 18:36 Worcester
Emerald Time
5yo · Ryan Hatch · Toby McCain-Mitchell(3) · Fri, 4 Sept 2026
Model probability
25.8%
Fair odds
29/10
Model edge
—
Raw score
70.7
Official rating
107
Weight
165lb
Draw
2
Days since last run
40
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Step Into Luxury With Purple Granite Handicap Hurdle Race
Conditions
Class 4 · 2m · Good · Turf
Field
6 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
6-5131
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 6-5131 over the last 5 start(s); 40 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 76 | 44.4 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 107 against a class 4 contest | 12% | 95 | 11.4 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 107 against a field average of 104 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 56 | 2.2 |
| Course performance Course record at Worcester not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form Ryan Hatch — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Draw not a material factor over jumps | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Toby McCain-Mitchell(3) — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 165 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 33 | 0.7 |