← Back to the 18:36 Worcester
Lord Virginia
5yo · Martin Keighley · Freddie Keighley(5) · Fri, 4 Sept 2026
Model probability
6.4%
Fair odds
147/10
Model edge
—
Raw score
45.5
Official rating
96
Weight
154lb
Draw
6
Days since last run
197
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Step Into Luxury With Purple Granite Handicap Hurdle Race
Conditions
Class 4 · 2m · Good · Turf
Field
6 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
94375-
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 94375- over the last 5 start(s); 197 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 37 | 21.3 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 96 against a class 4 contest | 12% | 78 | 9.4 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Worcester not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 154 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 80 | 1.6 |
| Trainer recent form Martin Keighley — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Draw not a material factor over jumps | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 96 against a field average of 104 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 32 | 1.3 |
| Jockey recent form Freddie Keighley(5) — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |