Model probability
9.3%
Fair odds
49/5
Model edge
—
Raw score
59.0
Official rating
112
Weight
160lb
Draw
4
Days since last run
404
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Copybet Follow Us On X Handicap Hurdle Race
Conditions
Class 4 · 2m 4f · Good · Turf
Field
8 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
1/503-
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: MediumModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 1/503- over the last 4 start(s); 404 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 55 | 31.9 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 112 against a class 4 contest | 12% | 100 | 12.0 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 112 against a field average of 112 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 51 | 2.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Worcester not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form Ian Williams — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Draw not a material factor over jumps | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Sam Twiston-Davies — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 160 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |