Model probability
13.1%
Fair odds
33/5
Model edge
—
Raw score
63.2
Official rating
98
Weight
166lb
Draw
3
Days since last run
50
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Copybet Bog Now For Saturday's Racing Handicap Hurdle Race
Conditions
Class 5 · 2m 7f · Good · Turf
Field
11 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
64-314
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 64-314 over the last 5 start(s); 50 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 66 | 38.2 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 98 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 82 | 9.8 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 98 against a field average of 90 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 68 | 2.7 |
| Course performance Course record at Worcester not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form David Pipe — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Draw not a material factor over jumps | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Rian Corcoran(5) — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 166 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 25 | 0.5 |