Model probability
6.6%
Fair odds
141/10
Model edge
—
Raw score
50.9
Official rating
99
Weight
167lb
Draw
2
Days since last run
40
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Copybet Bog Now For Saturday's Racing Handicap Hurdle Race
Conditions
Class 5 · 2m 7f · Good · Turf
Field
11 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
4-8843
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 4-8843 over the last 5 start(s); 40 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 44 | 25.7 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 99 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 83 | 10.0 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 99 against a field average of 90 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 70 | 2.8 |
| Course performance Course record at Worcester not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form Olly Murphy — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Draw not a material factor over jumps | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Sean Bowen — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 167 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 22 | 0.4 |