Model probability
25.0%
Fair odds
3/1
Model edge
—
Raw score
58.5
Official rating
122
Weight
154lb
Draw
1
Days since last run
114
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
North Wales Business Day Novices' Hurdle Race (gbb Race)
Conditions
Class 4 · 2m 3.5f · Good · Turf
Field
5 runners · Non-handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
3566-2
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 3566-2 over the last 5 start(s); 114 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 54 | 31.5 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 122 against a class 4 contest | 12% | 100 | 12.0 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 122 against a field average of 116 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 64 | 2.5 |
| Course performance Course record at Bangor-on-Dee not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form Dan Skelton — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Draw not a material factor over jumps | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Harry Skelton — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 154 lb (top weight) | 2% | 20 | 0.4 |