← Back to the 13:40 Bangor-on-Dee
Sovereignlightcafe
5yo · Michael & David Easterby · Patrick Wadge · Fri, 4 Sept 2026
Model probability
11.0%
Fair odds
81/10
Model edge
—
Raw score
43.7
Official rating
116
Weight
154lb
Draw
2
Days since last run
251
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
North Wales Business Day Novices' Hurdle Race (gbb Race)
Conditions
Class 4 · 2m 3.5f · Good · Turf
Field
5 runners · Non-handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
38-
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: MediumModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 38- over the last 2 start(s); 251 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 30 | 17.3 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 116 against a class 4 contest | 12% | 100 | 12.0 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 116 against a field average of 116 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Bangor-on-Dee not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form Michael & David Easterby — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Draw not a material factor over jumps | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Patrick Wadge — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 154 lb (top weight) | 2% | 20 | 0.4 |