Live British & Irish racecards — probabilities are estimates, not tips
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Iamyouare

6yo · Donald McCain · Mr Harry Brown(10) · Fri, 4 Sept 2026

Model probability
32.6%
Fair odds
21/10
Model edge
Raw score
63.2
Official rating
109
Weight
147lb
Draw
3
Days since last run
40

Today's race

The conditions this rating was produced for.

Race
North Wales Business Day Novices' Hurdle Race (gbb Race)
Conditions
Class 4 · 2m 3.5f · Good · Turf
Field
5 runners · Non-handicap

Recent form

Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.

51-3F2

Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.

Why this rating?

Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.

Data quality: HighModel v1.4
Recent form & race quality
Form line 51-3F2 over the last 5 start(s); 40 day(s) since the last run
58%6336.4
Official rating & class suitability
Official rating 109 against a class 4 contest
12%9811.8
Distance suitability
Past-distance record not available on the current data feed
6%503.0
Going suitability
Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good)
6%503.0
Course performance
Course record at Bangor-on-Dee not available on the current data feed
4%502.0
Weight / handicap position
Carrying 147 lb (below top weight)
2%801.6
Trainer recent form
Donald McCain — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed
3%501.5
Draw / course-position advantage
Draw not a material factor over jumps
3%501.5
Speed / performance ratings
Official rating 109 against a field average of 116 (speed figures not in the current feed)
4%351.4
Jockey recent form
Mr Harry Brown(10) — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed
2%501.0