Model probability
5.5%
Fair odds
86/5
Model edge
—
Raw score
37.5
Official rating
73
Weight
147lb
Draw
7
Days since last run
54
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Genesis Wealth Management Novices' Handicap Steeple Chase
Conditions
Class 5 · 2m 4.5f · Good · Turf
Field
8 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
6-2P4U
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 6-2P4U over the last 5 start(s); 54 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 31 | 18.1 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 73 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 43 | 5.2 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Bangor-on-Dee not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form Sam Allwood — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Draw not a material factor over jumps | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 147 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 73 | 1.4 |
| Jockey recent form Brendan Powell — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 73 against a field average of 87 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 20 | 0.8 |