Model probability
8.0%
Fair odds
23/2
Model edge
—
Raw score
44.3
Official rating
93
Weight
167lb
Draw
3
Days since last run
16
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Genesis Wealth Management Novices' Handicap Steeple Chase
Conditions
Class 5 · 2m 4.5f · Good · Turf
Field
8 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
-35P37
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line -35P37 over the last 5 start(s); 16 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 35 | 20.4 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 93 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 74 | 8.9 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 93 against a field average of 87 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 64 | 2.6 |
| Course performance Course record at Bangor-on-Dee not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form Gary Hanmer — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Draw not a material factor over jumps | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form James Davies — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 167 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 23 | 0.5 |