← Back to the 14:15 Bangor-on-Dee
Moonlightinthepark
5yo · Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero · Toby Wynne · Fri, 4 Sept 2026
Model probability
3.6%
Fair odds
271/10
Model edge
—
Raw score
29.7
Official rating
89
Weight
163lb
Draw
4
Days since last run
158
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Genesis Wealth Management Novices' Handicap Steeple Chase
Conditions
Class 5 · 2m 4.5f · Good · Turf
Field
8 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
6796P-
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 89 against a class 5 contest | 12% | 68 | 8.1 |
| Recent form & race quality Form line 6796P- over the last 5 start(s); 158 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 12 | 6.8 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 89 against a field average of 87 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 55 | 2.2 |
| Course performance Course record at Bangor-on-Dee not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Draw not a material factor over jumps | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Toby Wynne — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 163 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 33 | 0.7 |