Model probability
27.0%
Fair odds
27/10
Model edge
—
Raw score
79.2
Official rating
120
Weight
155lb
Draw
4
Days since last run
44
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Goffs Yorton Sale 10th September Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)
Conditions
Class 2 · 3m · Good · Turf
Field
6 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
2-1113
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 2-1113 over the last 5 start(s); 44 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 90 | 52.0 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 120 against a class 2 contest | 12% | 100 | 12.0 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Bangor-on-Dee not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 120 against a field average of 121 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 49 | 1.9 |
| Trainer recent form Jack Jones — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Draw not a material factor over jumps | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 155 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 61 | 1.2 |
| Jockey recent form Ben Jones — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |