Model probability
11.6%
Fair odds
38/5
Model edge
—
Raw score
64.0
Official rating
128
Weight
163lb
Draw
2
Days since last run
20
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Goffs Yorton Sale 10th September Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)
Conditions
Class 2 · 3m · Good · Turf
Field
6 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
23-11U
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 23-11U over the last 5 start(s); 20 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 63 | 36.6 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 128 against a class 2 contest | 12% | 100 | 12.0 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 128 against a field average of 121 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 66 | 2.6 |
| Course performance Course record at Bangor-on-Dee not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form Mickey Bowen — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Draw not a material factor over jumps | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form James Bowen — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 163 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 36 | 0.7 |