Model probability
12.8%
Fair odds
34/5
Model edge
—
Raw score
57.6
Official rating
114
Weight
156lb
Draw
5
Days since last run
54
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Du Construction Handicap Hurdle Race
Conditions
Class 3 · 2m 7f · Good · Turf
Field
5 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
611-56
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 611-56 over the last 5 start(s); 54 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 52 | 30.4 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 114 against a class 3 contest | 12% | 100 | 12.0 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Bangor-on-Dee not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 156 lb (below top weight) | 2% | 80 | 1.6 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 114 against a field average of 119 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 39 | 1.6 |
| Trainer recent form Donald McCain — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Draw not a material factor over jumps | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Theo Gillard — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |