Model probability
16.1%
Fair odds
26/5
Model edge
—
Raw score
68.6
Official rating
112
Weight
170lb
Draw
1
Days since last run
16
Today's race
The conditions this rating was produced for.
Race
Lexus Wrexham Open 2026 Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)
Conditions
Class 4 · 3m · Good · Turf
Field
8 runners · Handicap
Recent form
Figures from the official racecard, most recent run last.
20-242
Numbers are finishing positions; a dash marks a season break and letters mark non-completions. Full past-race history is not available on the current data plan, so the model reads these figures rather than individual past runs.
Why this rating?
Every factor, its weight and how this horse scored against the field.
Data quality: HighModel v1.4
| Recent form & race quality Form line 20-242 over the last 5 start(s); 16 day(s) since the last run | 58% | 71 | 41.0 |
| Official rating & class suitability Official rating 112 against a class 4 contest | 12% | 100 | 12.0 |
| Speed / performance ratings Official rating 112 against a field average of 99 (speed figures not in the current feed) | 4% | 79 | 3.1 |
| Distance suitability Past-distance record not available on the current data feed | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Going suitability Going record not available on the current data feed (today: good) | 6% | 50 | 3.0 |
| Course performance Course record at Bangor-on-Dee not available on the current data feed | 4% | 50 | 2.0 |
| Trainer recent form Ben Pauling — yard strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Draw / course-position advantage Draw not a material factor over jumps | 3% | 50 | 1.5 |
| Jockey recent form Ben Jones — rider strike-rate data not included in the current data feed | 2% | 50 | 1.0 |
| Weight / handicap position Carrying 170 lb (top weight) | 2% | 20 | 0.4 |